The Novice Bear: Phelps Dodge (PD) Option Trade is Closed

Monday, July 24, 2006

Phelps Dodge (PD) Option Trade is Closed

Purchased the Oct 75 Puts @ 4.30. Thanks, in part, to the mild copper selling panic in China overnight, I sold my puts for 5.30. That is a 23% gain. If there is a pop due to positive earnings tomorrow, maybe I'll bet against PD again. Looks like another short covering rally today. Here are some possible shorts after this rally dries up.

Sirf is up 10%

Akamai Tech is up 6%

Titanium Metals is up 6%

I got to tell you, the Sirf chart looks attrocious! They report earnings tomorrow, too. The Aug 25 Puts looks pretty good if there is a rally off of a good report.

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kswing code


Dim i,j,k,last As Integer
Dim swing As Single = Me.CodeBlock.ParameterValue
Dim curhigh,curlow,swhigh,swlow,lowp,highp As Single
Dim pcswing As Single
Dim highbar, lowbar, chighbar, clowbar As Integer
		
pcswing = swing/100
    For i = 1 To InputCount-1
	If i = 1 
	curhigh = inputlast(0)
	curlow = inputlast(0)
	End If
			
	If last <> 1
				
	If inputlow(i) < (curhigh-curhigh*pcswing)
	last = 1
	swhigh=curhigh
	highbar = chighbar
	curlow = inputlow(i)
	clowbar = i
	lowp = inputlow(i)
	addtooutput(inputdate(chighbar),swhigh)
					
	ElseIf inputhigh(i) > curhigh
	curhigh = inputhigh(i)
	chighbar = i
					
	End If
        End If
			
    If last <> -1
	If inputhigh(i) > curlow+(curlow*pcswing)
	last = -1
        swlow = curlow
	curhigh = inputhigh(i)
	chighbar = i
	addtooutput(inputdate(clowbar),swlow)
					
	ElseIf inputlow(i) < curlow
	curlow = inputlow(i)
	clowbar = i
	End If
	End If
	Next

TDST Sell Line

Dim j,k As Integer
Dim x As Integer = 0
Dim m As Integer = 0
Dim n As Integer = 0
Dim p As Integer = 0
Dim ar1(50000), ar2(50000) As Integer
Dim Period As Integer = Me.CodeBlock.ParameterValue

For i As Integer = 4 To InputCount-1
Dim CurDate As Date = InputDate(i)
If inputlast(i) > Inputlast(i-4) And InputLast(i-1) > InputLast(i-5) _
And InputLast(i-2) > InputLast(i-6) And InputLast(i-3) > InputLast(i-7) _
And InputLast(i-4) > InputLast(i-8) And InputLast(i-5) > InputLast(i-9) _
And InputLast(i-6) > InputLast(i-10) And InputLast(i-7) > InputLast(i-11) _
And InputLast(i-8) > InputLast(i-12) And InputLast(i-9) < InputLast(i-13)
m = m+1
ar1(i) = m
End If
Next

For j = 4 To InputCount-1
If ar1(j) > 0 And ar1(j) > ar1(j-1)
n = n + 1
ar2(n) = j
End If
Next

addtooutput(inputdate(ar2(n-(Period-1))-8),inputlow(ar2(n-(Period-1))-8))

Monday, July 24, 2006

Phelps Dodge (PD) Option Trade is Closed

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kswing code

TDST Sell Line