The Novice Bear: Tread lightly!

Thursday, January 18, 2007

Tread lightly!

Many of the leaders took a big hit today. My bellwether stock has been US Global Investors (GROW) and that thing has officially tanked. Now if that AXR can follow suit. It will be difficult considering that 81% of the float is shorted.

We have 3 distribution days in the last 4 weeks. One more day of heavy selling and its time to go completely into cash. My long positions all acted well today, but I'm thinking about cutting them loose if we get another ugly day. It is time to be very, very careful.

It looks like that QID buy was a good one.

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kswing code


Dim i,j,k,last As Integer
Dim swing As Single = Me.CodeBlock.ParameterValue
Dim curhigh,curlow,swhigh,swlow,lowp,highp As Single
Dim pcswing As Single
Dim highbar, lowbar, chighbar, clowbar As Integer
		
pcswing = swing/100
    For i = 1 To InputCount-1
	If i = 1 
	curhigh = inputlast(0)
	curlow = inputlast(0)
	End If
			
	If last <> 1
				
	If inputlow(i) < (curhigh-curhigh*pcswing)
	last = 1
	swhigh=curhigh
	highbar = chighbar
	curlow = inputlow(i)
	clowbar = i
	lowp = inputlow(i)
	addtooutput(inputdate(chighbar),swhigh)
					
	ElseIf inputhigh(i) > curhigh
	curhigh = inputhigh(i)
	chighbar = i
					
	End If
        End If
			
    If last <> -1
	If inputhigh(i) > curlow+(curlow*pcswing)
	last = -1
        swlow = curlow
	curhigh = inputhigh(i)
	chighbar = i
	addtooutput(inputdate(clowbar),swlow)
					
	ElseIf inputlow(i) < curlow
	curlow = inputlow(i)
	clowbar = i
	End If
	End If
	Next

TDST Sell Line

Dim j,k As Integer
Dim x As Integer = 0
Dim m As Integer = 0
Dim n As Integer = 0
Dim p As Integer = 0
Dim ar1(50000), ar2(50000) As Integer
Dim Period As Integer = Me.CodeBlock.ParameterValue

For i As Integer = 4 To InputCount-1
Dim CurDate As Date = InputDate(i)
If inputlast(i) > Inputlast(i-4) And InputLast(i-1) > InputLast(i-5) _
And InputLast(i-2) > InputLast(i-6) And InputLast(i-3) > InputLast(i-7) _
And InputLast(i-4) > InputLast(i-8) And InputLast(i-5) > InputLast(i-9) _
And InputLast(i-6) > InputLast(i-10) And InputLast(i-7) > InputLast(i-11) _
And InputLast(i-8) > InputLast(i-12) And InputLast(i-9) < InputLast(i-13)
m = m+1
ar1(i) = m
End If
Next

For j = 4 To InputCount-1
If ar1(j) > 0 And ar1(j) > ar1(j-1)
n = n + 1
ar2(n) = j
End If
Next

addtooutput(inputdate(ar2(n-(Period-1))-8),inputlow(ar2(n-(Period-1))-8))

Thursday, January 18, 2007

Tread lightly!

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kswing code

TDST Sell Line