Showing posts with label DNA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label DNA. Show all posts

Thursday, May 17, 2007

Interesting developments in Genentech (DNA)


Genentech recently broke through some important support levels. I picked up some put options to offset my previously purchased call options. So basically I'm now long volatility (which looks good right now) and stand to gain if there are major moves either up or down.

The downside looks like the path of least resistance, with no support until $70 and $58.

I'll post more on the fundamental story with DNA tomorrow.

Thursday, May 03, 2007

Its all about sentiment

We are back to sentiment arguments again. You know the drill, when everyone is bullish the market goes down and when everyone is bearish the market goes up. Guess where we are now?

On one hand, you have a market being led by the Dow 30, with the small-cap growth stocks lagging for the most part, which has usually been a bearish sign. (Especially for the Canslim investor.) On the other hand, I don't care where you look, everyone is bearish right now. The Fast Money guys, Tom O'Brien, and even the average investor. (AAII investor sentiment was 54% bearish)

If you want to see an intersting chart, check this out.




You can read the full story here. It talks about how sentiment readings show that we are nearer to a bottom than too a top. Amazing.

What to do? I don't know. I guess I'll just keep my strategy of buying pullbacks and not breakouts. My MIND trade is moving in the right direction. My DNA trade is flat. UXG is still strong, while GTW continues to go sideways.

Thursday, April 26, 2007

Genentech (DNA) has its back up against the wall

Did you notice that IBD is now tracking the distribution day in all of the major indices now? I guess I wasn't the only one complaining about the Feb selloff. On that note, the NYSE picked up another distribution day today.

Also, it looks like DNA has tested the recent lows on lighter volume. I picked up some September out of the money calls. This will be another small trade, as it looks like there will be plenty of resistance at 85.